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The Storm Before the Calm: America
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The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond
Author: George Friedman
Year: February 25, 2020
Format: PDF
File size: PDF 13 MB
Language: English



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The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s In his latest book, George Friedman, a renowned geopolitical forecaster and New York Times bestselling author, delves into the future of the United States, predicting how the 2020s will bring significant upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture. The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s is a riveting account of the coming decades, examining the cyclical nature of American history and the impending changes that will shape the nation. Cycles of Change Friedman posits that American history can be viewed in cycles, specifically an eighty-year and institutional cycle and a fifty-year socioeconomic cycle. These two major cycles are now converging on the late 2020s, a time when many foundations will change. The Revolutionary War, the Civil War, and World War II are examples of these cycles, each with profound impacts on the country's development. As the cycles intersect, the United States will experience upheaval and possible conflict, but also increased stability and power in the world.
The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s В своей последней книге Джордж Фридман, известный геополитический прогнозист и автор бестселлеров New York Times, углубляется в будущее Соединенных Штатов, предсказывая, как 2020-е принесут значительные потрясения и изменение формы американского правительства, внешней политики, экономики и культура. «Буря перед затишьем: американский раздор и грядущий кризис 2020-х» - это захватывающий рассказ о ближайших десятилетиях, в котором рассматривается цикличность американской истории и грядущие изменения, которые будут формировать нацию. Циклы перемен Фридман утверждает, что американскую историю можно рассматривать циклами, в частности, восьмидесятилетним и институциональным циклом и пятидесятилетним социально-экономическим циклом. Эти два основных цикла сейчас сходятся на конце 2020-х годов, времени, когда многие основы изменятся. Революционная война, Гражданская война и Вторая мировая война являются примерами этих циклов, каждый из которых оказывает глубокое влияние на развитие страны. По мере пересечения циклов США будут переживать потрясения и возможные конфликты, но также и повышение стабильности и могущества в мире.
The Storm Before the Calm : America Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s Dans son dernier livre, George Friedman, célèbre prévisionniste géopolitique et auteur du best-seller du New York Times, se penche sur l'avenir des États-Unis en prédisant comment 2020 apportera des bouleversements et des changements de forme considérables le gouvernement américain, la politique étrangère, l'économie et la culture. « La tempête avant le calme : la discorde américaine et la crise des années 2020 » est un récit passionnant des décennies à venir qui examine le cycle de l'histoire américaine et les changements à venir qui façonneront la nation. Friedman affirme que l'histoire des États-Unis peut être considérée par des cycles, en particulier un cycle de 80 ans et un cycle institutionnel et un cycle socioéconomique de 50 ans. Ces deux grands cycles convergent maintenant à la fin des années 2020, à une époque où de nombreuses bases changent. La guerre révolutionnaire, la guerre civile et la Seconde Guerre mondiale sont des exemples de ces cycles, qui ont chacun une influence profonde sur le développement du pays. Au fur et à mesure que les cycles traverseront, les États-Unis subiront des chocs et d'éventuels conflits, mais aussi une plus grande stabilité et une plus grande puissance dans le monde.
La tormenta Antes del Calm: Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s En su último libro, George Friedman, un reconocido predictor geopolítico y autor de bestsellers del New York Times, profundiza en el futuro de Estados Unidos al predecir cómo es el 2020 traerá conmociones significativas y un cambio en la forma del gobierno estadounidense, la política exterior, la economía y la cultura. «La tormenta antes de la calma: la discordia estadounidense y la próxima crisis de los 2020» es un apasionante relato de las próximas décadas que repasa la cíclica de la historia estadounidense y los cambios que se avecinan que darán forma a la nación. ciclos del cambio Friedman argumenta que la historia americana puede ser considerada por ciclos, en particular, el ciclo de ochenta e institucional y el ciclo socioeconómico de cincuenta . Estos dos grandes ciclos convergen ahora a finales de la década de 2020, un momento en el que cambiarán muchos fundamentos. La Guerra Revolucionaria, la Guerra Civil y la Segunda Guerra Mundial son ejemplos de estos ciclos, cada uno con un profundo impacto en el desarrollo del país. A medida que los ciclos se cruzan, Estados Unidos experimentará conmociones y posibles conflictos, pero también una mayor estabilidad y poder en el mundo.
The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord and the Coming Crisi of the 2020.Nel suo ultimo libro, George Friedman, noto previsore geopolitico e autore di best seller del New York Times, sta approfondendo il futuro degli Stati Uniti, prevedendo come il 2020 porterà notevoli sconvolgimenti e cambiamenti nella forma del governo americano politica, economia e cultura. «La tempesta prima della calma: la discordia americana e l'imminente crisi degli anni 2020» è un racconto emozionante dei prossimi decenni, che affronta la ciclicità della storia americana e i cambiamenti futuri che formeranno la nazione. I cicli di cambiamento di Friedman sostengono che la storia americana può essere considerata un ciclo, in particolare un ciclo di anni ottantenni e istituzionali e un ciclo economico e sociale di cinquant'anni. Questi due cicli principali sono ora in sintonia con la fine degli anni 2020, un momento in cui molte basi cambieranno. La guerra rivoluzionaria, la guerra civile e la seconda guerra mondiale sono esempi di questi cicli, ognuno dei quali ha un profondo impatto sullo sviluppo del paese. Mentre attraversano i cicli, gli Stati Uniti subiranno shock e possibili conflitti, ma anche una maggiore stabilità e potenza nel mondo.
The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s In seinem neuesten Buch geht George Friedman, ein bekannter geopolitischer Prognostiker und Bestsellerautor der New York Times, tiefer in die Zukunft der Vereinigten Staaten und sagt voraus, wie die 2020er Jahre bedeutende Umwälzungen und einen Formwechsel der amerikanischen Regierung bringen werden Außenpolitik, Wirtschaft und Kultur. The Storm Before the Flaute: American Distress and the Coming Crisis of the 2020s ist eine spannende Geschichte über die kommenden Jahrzehnte, die sich mit der zyklischen Natur der amerikanischen Geschichte und den kommenden Veränderungen befasst, die die Nation prägen werden. Zyklen des Wandels Friedman argumentiert, dass die amerikanische Geschichte in Zyklen betrachtet werden kann, insbesondere in einem achtzigjährigen und institutionellen Zyklus und einem fünfzigjährigen sozioökonomischen Zyklus. Diese beiden großen Zyklen laufen jetzt Ende der 2020er Jahre zusammen, eine Zeit, in der sich viele Grundlagen ändern werden. Der Revolutionskrieg, der Bürgerkrieg und der Zweite Weltkrieg sind Beispiele für diese Zyklen, die jeweils tiefgreifende Auswirkungen auf die Entwicklung des Landes haben. Während sich die Zyklen kreuzen, werden die USA Umwälzungen und mögliche Konflikte erleben, aber auch eine Zunahme der Stabilität und Macht in der Welt.
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Sakinlikten Önceki Fırtına: Amerika'nın Uyuşmazlığı ve 2020'lerin Yaklaşan Krizi Son kitabında, ünlü bir jeopolitik tahminci ve New York Times'ın en çok satan yazarı olan George Friedman, ABD'nin geleceğini araştırıyor ve 2020'lerin Amerikan hükümetinin, dış politikasının, ekonomisinin nasıl önemli bir karışıklık ve yeniden şekilleneceğini öngörüyor Ve kültür. "The Storm Before the Lull: American Strife and the Coming Crisis of the 2020's", Amerikan tarihinin döngüsel doğasına ve ulusu şekillendirecek olan değişikliklere bakan önümüzdeki on yılların sürükleyici bir anlatımıdır. Değişim döngüleri Friedman, Amerikan tarihinin, özellikle sekizgen ve kurumsal döngü ve elli yıllık sosyoekonomik döngü olmak üzere döngüler halinde görülebileceğini savunuyor. Bu iki büyük döngü şimdi 2020'lerin sonlarında, birçok temelin değişeceği bir zamanda birleşiyor. Devrim Savaşı, İç Savaş ve II. Dünya Savaşı, her biri ülkenin gelişimi üzerinde derin bir etkiye sahip olan bu döngülerin örnekleridir. Döngüler kesiştikçe, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri şoklar ve olası çatışmalar yaşayacak, aynı zamanda dünyada istikrar ve güç artacaktır.
العاصفة قبل الهدوء: الخلاف الأمريكي والأزمة القادمة في عشرينيات القرن العشرين في كتابه الأخير، جورج فريدمان، المتنبئ الجيوسياسي الشهير والمؤلف الأكثر مبيعًا في نيويورك تايمز، يتعمق في مستقبل الولايات المتحدة، ويتوقع كيف ستؤدي عشرينيات القرن الحالي إلى اضطرابات كبيرة و إعادة تشكيل الحكومة الأمريكية والسياسة الخارجية والاقتصاد والثقافة. «العاصفة قبل الهدوء: الصراع الأمريكي والأزمة القادمة في عشرينيات القرن الحالي» هي سرد مؤثر للعقود القادمة التي تنظر في الطبيعة الدورية للتاريخ الأمريكي والتغييرات القادمة التي ستشكل الأمة. يجادل فريدمان بأن التاريخ الأمريكي يمكن النظر إليه في دورات، لا سيما الدورة الثمانينية والمؤسسية والدورة الاجتماعية والاقتصادية الخمسين. تتقارب هاتان الدورتان الرئيسيتان الآن في أواخر عام 2020، وهو الوقت الذي ستتغير فيه العديد من الأساسيات. الحرب الثورية والحرب الأهلية والحرب العالمية الثانية هي أمثلة على هذه الدورات، ولكل منها تأثير عميق على تنمية البلاد. مع تقاطع الدورات، ستواجه الولايات المتحدة صدمات وصراعات محتملة، ولكن أيضًا زيادة الاستقرار والقوة في العالم.

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