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Defense 2045: Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policymakers (CSIS Reports) - David T. Miller November 11, 2015 PDF  BOOKS
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Defense 2045: Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policymakers (CSIS Reports)
Author: David T. Miller
Year: November 11, 2015
Format: PDF
File size: PDF 2.7 MB
Language: English



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The plot of the book 'Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policymakers CSIS Reports' revolves around the need for defense policymakers to understand the technological process of developing modern knowledge as the basis for the survival of humanity and the unification of people in a warring state. The story begins by highlighting the importance of studying and understanding the evolution of technology, particularly in a period of budget austerity where prioritization is crucial for defense policymakers. The main character, a defense strategist, realizes that in order to determine the priorities, it is essential to consider the nature of conflicts and missions that the US military may face in the future. To achieve this, the strategist conducts an assessment of the key components or drivers of the future security environment (FSE), which includes analyzing national security and foreign policy literature, Defense Department strategy, and operational documents, as well as interviewing leading academics and practitioners. Through this research, the strategist identifies the drivers of the FSE, providing a clearer understanding of the unknowable future and guiding analysis and decision-making for defense policymakers. As the story progresses, the strategist recognizes the significance of developing a personal paradigm for perceiving the technological process of developing modern knowledge. This paradigm serves as the foundation for the survival of humanity and the unification of people in a warring state.
Сюжет книги «Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policies CSIS Reports» вращается вокруг необходимости понимания оборонными политиками технологического процесса развития современных знаний как основы выживания человечества и объединения людей в воюющем государстве. История начинается с того, что подчеркивается важность изучения и понимания эволюции технологий, особенно в период бюджетной экономии, когда расстановка приоритетов имеет решающее значение для оборонных политиков. Главный герой, оборонный стратег, понимает, что для определения приоритетов важно учитывать характер конфликтов и миссий, с которыми могут столкнуться американские военные в будущем. Чтобы добиться этого, стратег проводит оценку ключевых компонентов или драйверов будущей среды безопасности (FSE), которая включает анализ литературы по национальной безопасности и внешней политике, стратегии Министерства обороны и оперативных документов, а также опрашивает ведущих ученых и практиков. Посредством этого исследования стратег определяет движущие силы FSE, обеспечивая более четкое понимание непознаваемого будущего и направляя анализ и принятие решений для оборонных политиков. По ходу повествования стратег признает значимость выработки личностной парадигмы восприятия технологического процесса развития современных знаний. Эта парадигма служит фундаментом для выживания человечества и объединения людей в воюющем государстве.
L'histoire du livre « Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implémentations for Defense Policy Reports » du CSIS tourne autour de la nécessité pour les responsables politiques de la défense de comprendre le processus technologique de développement des connaissances modernes comme base de la survie de l'humanité et de l'unification des peuples dans un État en guerre. L'histoire commence par souligner L'importance D'étudier et de comprendre L'évolution de la technologie, en particulier en période D'austérité budgétaire, où L'établissement des priorités est crucial pour les décideurs de la défense. personnage principal, le stratège de la défense, comprend qu'il est important de tenir compte de la nature des conflits et des missions que l'armée américaine pourrait rencontrer à l'avenir pour définir ses priorités. À cette fin, le stratège évalue les principaux éléments ou facteurs de l'environnement de sécurité futur (ESF), qui comprend une analyse de la littérature sur la sécurité nationale et la politique étrangère, la stratégie du ministère de la Défense et les documents opérationnels, et interroge des scientifiques et des praticiens de premier plan. Grâce à cette recherche, le stratège identifie les forces motrices de l'ESF, en fournissant une meilleure compréhension de l'avenir inconnu et en orientant l'analyse et la prise de décisions pour les décideurs de la défense. Au cours de la narration, le stratège reconnaît l'importance de l'élaboration d'un paradigme personnel de la perception du processus technologique du développement des connaissances modernes. Ce paradigme sert de base à la survie de l'humanité et à l'unification des hommes dans un État en guerre.
La trama del libro «Defensa 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policies CSIS Reports» gira en torno a la necesidad de que los políticos de defensa comprendan el proceso tecnológico del desarrollo del conocimiento moderno como base para la supervivencia de la humanidad y la unión de las personas en un Estado en guerra. La historia comienza subrayando la importancia de estudiar y entender la evolución de la tecnología, especialmente en un período de austeridad fiscal, cuando la priorización es crucial para los políticos de defensa. protagonista, estratega de defensa, entiende que para priorizar es importante tener en cuenta la naturaleza de los conflictos y las misiones que podrían enfrentar los militares estadounidenses en el futuro. Para lograrlo, el estratega realiza una evaluación de los componentes o impulsores clave del futuro entorno de seguridad (FSE), que incluye un análisis de la literatura sobre seguridad nacional y política exterior, estrategias del Ministerio de Defensa y documentos operativos, además de entrevistar a destacados académicos y profesionales. A través de este estudio, el estratega identifica las fuerzas impulsoras de la FSE, proporcionando una comprensión más clara del futuro no reconocido y dirigiendo el análisis y la toma de decisiones para los políticos de defensa. En el transcurso de la narración, el estratega reconoce la importancia de generar un paradigma personal para percibir el proceso tecnológico del desarrollo del conocimiento moderno. Este paradigma sirve de base para la supervivencia de la humanidad y la unificación de los seres humanos en un Estado en guerra.
La trama del libro «Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policies CSIS Reports» ruota sulla necessità per i politici della difesa di comprendere il processo tecnologico di sviluppo della conoscenza moderna come base per la sopravvivenza dell'umanità e per unire le persone in uno Stato in guerra. La storia inizia mettendo in evidenza l'importanza di studiare e comprendere l'evoluzione della tecnologia, soprattutto in un periodo di austerità fiscale in cui l'assegnazione delle priorità è fondamentale per i politici della difesa. Il protagonista, uno stratega della difesa, è consapevole che per definire le priorità è importante tenere conto della natura dei conflitti e delle missioni che i militari americani potrebbero affrontare in futuro. Per riuscirci, lo stratega sta valutando i componenti chiave o i driver del futuro ambiente di sicurezza (FSE), che comprende l'analisi della letteratura sulla sicurezza nazionale e la politica estera, le strategie del Ministero della Difesa e i documenti operativi, e interroga i più importanti scienziati e praticanti. Attraverso questa ricerca, lo stratega definisce i motori dell'FSE, fornendo una migliore comprensione del futuro non identificabile e guidando analisi e decisioni per i politici della difesa. Nel corso della narrazione, lo stratega riconosce l'importanza di sviluppare un paradigma personale per la percezione del processo tecnologico dello sviluppo della conoscenza moderna. Questo paradigma è la base per la sopravvivenza dell'umanità e per unire le persone in uno stato in guerra.
Die Handlung des Buches „Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policies CSIS Reports“ dreht sich um die Notwendigkeit, dass Verteidigungspolitiker den technologischen Prozess der Entwicklung modernen Wissens als Grundlage für das Überleben der Menschheit und die Vereinigung von Menschen in einem kriegführenden Staat verstehen. Die Geschichte beginnt damit, dass die Bedeutung der Erforschung und des Verständnisses der technologischen Entwicklung hervorgehoben wird, insbesondere in einer Zeit der Haushaltseinsparungen, in der die Priorisierung für Verteidigungspolitiker von entscheidender Bedeutung ist. Der Protagonist, ein Verteidigungsstratege, versteht, dass es für die Priorisierung wichtig ist, die Art der Konflikte und Missionen zu berücksichtigen, mit denen das US-Militär in Zukunft konfrontiert sein könnte. Um dies zu erreichen, führt der Stratege eine Bewertung der Schlüsselkomponenten oder Treiber des zukünftigen cherheitsumfelds (FSE) durch, die eine Analyse der Literatur zur nationalen cherheit und Außenpolitik, der Strategie des Verteidigungsministeriums und der operativen Dokumente umfasst und führende Wissenschaftler und Praktiker befragt. Durch diese Studie identifiziert der Stratege die treibenden Kräfte von FSE, liefert ein klareres Verständnis der unerkennbaren Zukunft und leitet die Analyse und Entscheidungsfindung für Verteidigungspolitiker. Im Laufe der Erzählung erkennt der Stratege die Bedeutung der Entwicklung eines persönlichen Paradigmas der Wahrnehmung des technologischen Prozesses der Entwicklung des modernen Wissens. Dieses Paradigma dient als Grundlage für das Überleben der Menschheit und die Vereinigung der Menschen in einem kriegführenden Staat.
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Savunma 2045 Gelecekteki Güvenlik Ortamının Değerlendirilmesi ve Savunma Politikalarına Etkileri CSIS Raporları, savunma politikacılarının, modern bilginin insanlığın hayatta kalması ve insanların savaşan bir durumda birleşmesi için temel olarak geliştirilmesinin teknolojik sürecini anlama ihtiyacı etrafında dönmektedir. Hikaye, özellikle önceliklendirmenin savunma politika yapıcıları için kritik olduğu mali kemer sıkma döneminde, teknolojinin evrimini incelemenin ve anlamanın önemini vurgulayarak başlıyor. Bir savunma stratejisti olan kahraman, öncelik vermek için ABD ordusunun gelecekte karşılaşabileceği çatışmaların ve görevlerin doğasını göz önünde bulundurmanın önemli olduğunu anlıyor. Bunu başarmak için, stratejist, ulusal güvenlik ve dış politika literatürünün, Savunma Bakanlığı stratejilerinin ve operasyonel belgelerin analizini içeren gelecekteki güvenlik ortamının (FSE) temel bileşenlerinin veya sürücülerinin bir değerlendirmesini yapar ve önde gelen bilim adamları ve uygulayıcılarla görüşmeler yapar. Bu araştırma sayesinde, stratejist FSE'nin sürücülerini tanımlar, bilinemez geleceğin daha net anlaşılmasını sağlar ve savunma politika yapıcıları için analiz ve karar vermeye rehberlik eder. Hikaye boyunca, stratejist, modern bilginin gelişiminin teknolojik sürecinin algılanması için kişisel bir paradigma geliştirmenin önemini kabul eder. Bu paradigma, insanlığın hayatta kalması ve insanların savaşan bir durumda birleşmesi için temel teşkil eder.
Defense 2045 تقييم البيئة الأمنية المستقبلية والآثار المترتبة على سياسات الدفاع تدور تقارير CSIS حول الحاجة إلى سياسيي الدفاع لفهم العملية التكنولوجية لتطوير المعرفة الحديثة كأساس لبقاء البشرية وتوحيد الناس في دولة متحاربة. تبدأ القصة بتسليط الضوء على أهمية دراسة وفهم تطور التكنولوجيا، خاصة خلال فترة التقشف المالي عندما يكون تحديد الأولويات أمرًا بالغ الأهمية لصانعي السياسة الدفاعية. يدرك بطل الرواية، وهو استراتيجي دفاعي، أنه لتحديد الأولويات، من المهم النظر في طبيعة النزاعات والمهام التي قد يواجهها الجيش الأمريكي في المستقبل. لتحقيق ذلك، يجري الخبير الاستراتيجي تقييمًا للمكونات أو المحركات الرئيسية للبيئة الأمنية المستقبلية (FSE)، والتي تشمل تحليل أدبيات الأمن القومي والسياسة الخارجية، واستراتيجيات وزارة الدفاع والوثائق التشغيلية، ومقابلات مع كبار العلماء والممارسين. من خلال هذا البحث، يحدد الخبير الاستراتيجي محركات FSE، مما يوفر فهمًا أوضح للمستقبل غير المعروف والتحليل التوجيهي وصنع القرار لصانعي السياسة الدفاعية. خلال القصة، يدرك الخبير الاستراتيجي أهمية تطوير نموذج شخصي لتصور العملية التكنولوجية لتطوير المعرفة الحديثة. يعمل هذا النموذج كأساس لبقاء البشرية وتوحيد الناس في دولة متحاربة.

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